LATEBREAKER
Methods/Statistics
Induction dynamics of the Social R-naught on weight loss: RCT Evidence Daniel E. Zoughbie* Daniel Zoughbie Dillon R. Huddleston Eric L. Ding
We present the first evidence from a randomized trial, demonstrating the epidemiological dynamics of the social-behavioral infectiousness of risk factors for obesity and diabetes, and the R0 of weight loss propagation. Via the trial design to infer causality, we calculated the Social R0 across multiple time points for weight change propagation (social-R0=1.2, p<0.01). We further show that health propagation of an intervention program can attain epidemic proportions; and that public health systems can intervene to modify the R0 value thereby potentially managing, preventing, or reversing social infections at epidemic scale (yielding population-averaged comparative R0 ratios, 7.77<Rc<15.58, p<0.01, for weight loss propagation).